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Date 18-Jan-21 A Note On Stock Markets

I kept telling via my emails, that Nifty is due for a fall. If you have not subscribed to receive my emails please register here:

Recently it fell from 14600 levels to now 14300.

NSE on 18-Jan-21

Source: https://money.rediff.com/index.html

What will happen next?

Two major events are coming:

1. 20-Jan-21 – Biden taking over as President of USA. (I think if he takes the oath and become President of USA he will be the oldest man to become the President of USA. read more

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Option theta is very important indicator for traders whether you want to buy or sell options. It helps to predict how over time the price of the option will change.

Theta is time value of options, means options expire on a certain date so their life is limited. Time value is built in the premium of the option, of course it ends when the option expires on the expiry date. If you want to read Option Greeks in details you can read here.

Time decay accelerates as an option nears its expiration date. It is the fasted on the last day of its life. Option cannot be traded once the market closes on its expiry date. All the traded contracts are settled for profit and losses on this date. read more


How To Prepare For Stock Trading in 2021

Here is a list of things you can prepare before the year ends so that you trade stocks well in the year 2021.

1. Check you past trades of 2020. See what mistakes you did. Write them down and try not to repeat those mistakes.

2. In the trades that you were right and book profit – write what happened that you made profits and what you could have done to get better results. You can do these corrections in the trade taken in the year 2021.

3. If there was more than 10,000 loss in a single trade – write down why you did not take a stop loss. Even if your reasoning is correct, it is 100% WRONG not to take a stop loss at minimum 2 and maximum 5% of the margin blocked in a trade. read more


Nifty Intraday Move Very Volatile What Traders Can Do

Nifty intraday movement has become very volatile now. For intraday traders, this is a problem.

Check this intraday movement of NSE on Friday, 18-Dec-20. Intraday movement is more than 100 points:

Source: https://money.rediff.com/index.html

What you can do if you are an intraday trader?

Keep your profit target more than stop-loss every day. For example, if your profit target is 50 points a day then your stop loss should be 25 points.

Personally, I do not like intraday trading. I was caught doing it while in a job in 2007 and was sacked. read more


Intraday Margin Will Increase From 01-Dec-2020

This post was written & posted on Monday, 30-Nov-20, therefore you may read some words as Today/Tomorrow etc. Please keep this date in mind while reading.

Some help was taken from these sources to write the article:
1) ZERODHA – India’s No. 1 discount broker, &
2) UPSTOX – India’s No. 2 discount broker.

If you click on the above link and open an account mapped to me I will teach you a good equity investment strategy where you will learn how to choose stocks for short term investment and how to choose stocks for long term investment. You will feel good choosing and investing yourself rather than depending on advisory services. read more


How A Stock Moves Up and Down – A Simple Explanation

Yesterday I had written that the current rising stock market is news based uptrend.

The question is how good news has to be that it keeps going up? Well, the answer is that there can be no news good enough that the markets will keep going up always.


Well lets us go back to how stock markets work.

Very Simple Logic:

If Demand is more than Supply (there are more buyers than sellers), then the stock moves up.

Similarly, if Supply is more than Demand (there are more sellers than buyers), then the stock moves down. read more


When Stock Markets Are Near All-Time High What Can You Do

When markets are near all-time high one should try to invest as little as possible. Or you can wait for a few days and then re-invest.

NSE as on 09-Nov-20:

NSE as on 09-Nov-20

Source: https://money.rediff.com/index.html

Why wait for a few days?

Because markets may retrace back / fall by about 2-3% and give you an opportunity to invest again.

When markets are at all-time high it is better to book profits and wait for a reversal back to mean.

Mean is the average of the numbers. It is easy to calculate – add up all the numbers, then divide by how many numbers there are. In other words, it is the sum divided by the count. read more


How Much Money You Should Invest In Stock Markets

There is a limit to invest your money in stock markets. Yes, ideally you should save 20-25% of your income and out of that 40% can be invested in stock markets.

Still, I do not advocate investing too much money in stock markets?

Let me give you an example.

Vijay’s take-home salary is 1 lakh a month.

– 25% saving is 25,000
– 40% of 25000 is 10,000
– In a year Vijay can invest 10,000*12 = 1,20,000 in stock markets which in other word is 10% of his take-home salary.

Assuming his salary is same for the next 30 years, or he invested Rs.1,20,000 for the next 30 years in stock markets and makes a return of 25% a year. read more


When To Trade Long Straddle And Long Strangle

In this article I will discuss when to trade Long Straddle and Long Strangle.

When should we trade Long Straddle and Long Strangle?

When the markets are volatile (very volatile) then Long Straddles and Long Strangles work well.

What is Long Straddle trade?

A Long Straddle is a combination of buying a call and buying a put, both with the same strike price and expiration. Together, they produce a position that should profit if the stock makes a big move either up or down. I have written in details about Long Straddle here that you can read. read more


Today I received an email from one of my subscribers that I believe most of the traders think most of the traders think the same way. So I have shared his email here.

What he believes?

That the stock operators and brokers control the stock market price action. Since they want traders to lose money – most of them play against them and operate the stock in such a way that it almost always hits the stop loss – thus making them money.

However, let me tell you that this is simply not true. Assuming that even if its true, stock price manipulation by any mean other than demand and supply is illegal in India. One day or the other they will get caught and their license will be cancelled. No broker can take a risk with their business license for a few thousands rupees a month. But the main reason is that stock brokers are just that stock brokers, they can help us to get a trade go through, they do not have access to main sources/resources where final transaction between a seller and a buyer is done. Therefore there is no way they can manipulate the prices. read more