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Date of Post: 04-Apr-2019
The general election will start from 11th April and end on 19th May 2019. The result day is 23rd May 2019.
This will happen to India VIX – a major factor that decides option premiums.
Here you can see India VIX here:
India VIX as on 04-Apr-2019, 2.07 pm:
From 11th April 2019 it will start rising and will be in range of 16-18 to 20-22 until 19th May 2019. Then from 20 to 23rd May 2019 it will keep rising and may cross 22-25. After 23rd May 2019 it will start to drop.
What will happen to Nifty?
It will get volatile especially from 19th May 19 until result is declared.
If BJP wins again it may surpass 12300-12500. If BJP loses then Nifty may fall to 10500.
Please trade with keeping the above in mind.
Update: Apr 8, 2019
I had written that India VIX will keep increasing until General Elections are over, then drop. However it’s getting faster than what I wrote.
Today itself it crossed 20. Here is a screen shot:
So my advice to all directional traders is to trade very cautiously. Nifty will get very volatile and may change direction at drop of a hat which may hit your stop loss much often.
For non-directional traders these things are not a concern. They are not bothered by which direction Nifty goes yet they make money. So the volatility increase may not affect your trades much. But make sure to hedge your trades.
If you are a conservative trader happy with small profits you can do my Nifty conservative options trading course. It does not require too much of monitoring. You need not keep looking at it all the time. While you do your job these strategies will make money in the background.
Basically positional and plug and play strategies.
Easy to understand and trade. And these events which impact the markets will not bother you much as they make money irrespective of where the market goes – up or down.
I also have more advanced Bank Nifty weekly options course for experienced traders.
If you are serious and want to learn conservative way to trade options with hedge to stay away from speculations (biggest enemy of a trader) and huge losses ever you can pay the fees here and do my courses.
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What you should do now1. If you have still not subscribed for my free 5 days course you can do by filling the form above. You will learn a lot about option trading.
2. If you are a new option trader, not much experienced and are making losses you can do my paid course. I recommend Nifty Conservative Option Course for beginners because it is easy to understand and easy to trade. Even a 18 year old young trader or a housewife can learn it and start trading from next day. It will help you to earn consistent monthly income without any software or speculation or stress or big risk. You will learn proper hedging strategies that works in any market condition.
3. If you are banknifty weekly options trader you can do my Bank Nifty Weekly Options & Futures Strategy Course. You will learn future and option hedging strategies that works in volatile market condition.
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Here is complete process of my course1. Once you pay I will send you the course materials for studying to your email.
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3. Then you start paper trading and still can ask me questions.
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5. Since doubts can come anytime the support will be there for one year.
Within one month you can start trading on your own. No need to depend on anyone once you are on your own.
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Dilip Shaw, Founder
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