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Greece Crisis What Should You Trade


I usually refrain from advising my subscribers from taking any trade for short term as I am a firm believer of non-directional trade. But today I am making an exception. In fact sometimes when the markets are showing indications of good day to trade I will give you some advice which I feel is correct.

It is quite reasonable to understand that it will help people who have taken my course more than who have not. Still it will help everyone to some extent.

Greece Crisis is no small news. A big Euro country may or may not default. We do not know. As a trader I do not speculate. My only friend is Volatility and what may happen to Volatility. Its a guess, but I take a calculated guess.

VIX today (29-June-2015) is currently at 18.18 – a 15.36% increase over previous close. Options premium have exploded. 18.18 is well above average. It is great time for option sellers.

Now let us think like a trader. Tomorrow (Tuesday, 30-June-2015) some news is expected. Once the news is out I expect the volatility to drop. If not tomorrow, within a few days, say by next week it should try to come back to normal. Options premium will also drop benefiting the sellers. This is a great time to do Strategy 1 of my course. You are getting great premium, so you can also go slightly further than whats in the course as we only target a small profit and options premium is also more. So just be safe. Nothing big to worry if something goes wrong Strategy 2 is there. Nifty will not go that far in 60 days. πŸ™‚

Two things may happen:

One,Euro countries will try their best to make sure Greece does not default as it may damage their economy. This is a 80% chance. If the news is good VIX will drop and Nifty will make a bounce back. BOTH will happen. If it does, get out from the strategy 1 as your profits will come very fast. There is no need to wait further.

Two, if Greece defaults then the strategy 1 may or may not hit the stop loss. Remember this time you are pretty far, so if it takes too much time to hit stop loss, you still end up making money. So no need to go to strategy 2. But if there is a small loss, strategy 2 is there to recoup losses. πŸ™‚

Tell me what else can happen?

I hope you got an idea of how I think before I trade. If you become a disciplined trader – this is how you will start thinking. It helps over the long term.

Please remember to manage risk. Just because I have asked you to trade does NOT mean you take too much risk. Only trade with what you can manage.

For those who have not taken the course you can sell options and hedge them by buying further out of the money options. Do not do this on too many lots just because I have said. I cannot elaborate further as this article will come in public domain and will not justify people who have paid for the course.

My costumers who have already traded strategy 1 need not do anything. Just follow the rules. Increasing risk is not recommended. However if you have cash left to trade a few lots you can try making another Strategy 1 in 1 or 2 lots only.

Disclaimer: In this post I have suggest my newsletter subscribers and customers a good trade and a great time to trade according to my view and experience. If you are reading this after the Greece news is out PLEASE DO NOT TAKE THIS TRADE. VIX will change and we will have to try some other strategy. Please do your own research before trying any strategy. Stock markets investments are subject to markets risks so please trade with care. Trade with the amount you can manage well. Thanks.

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Hi, I am Dilip Shaw, owner of this website. I am a trader like you. I have been trading since 2007, but lost a lot of money till 2010. I then stopped trading and studied options like college exams. Started trading again from 2011 and never looked back since. I did a lot of research, read books and did countless paper-trading before being profitable. You can read about me here.

My conservative trading course since 2014 is helping many retail traders just like you who have a job or business make consistent profits like this:

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You can do this course from your home. Some traders make amazing profits like Rs. 16.26 lakhs profit in 5 days though results may differ for all.

This course helps you learn to trade conservative option strategies for monthly income. Once you finish the course you can start trading immediately. You can start trading from any day. No need to wait for expiry. You will make profits consistently.

This course is good if you have a regular job or business. You DO NOT NEED to monitor your trades every second.

What You Get?

Before reading please understand that for all 5 strategies, strike selection will be taught. Strike selection while trading Options is the most essential part to succeed.

You get two conservative non-directional strategies on options, one conservative stock option strategy and two conservative directional strategies on Future & Option combination.

Non directional trades are profitable 80% of the times and make 3-5% per trade (Results may vary).

Directional strategy makes money fast. It does not matter which side the stock moves. In fact you make more when you are wrong in the Future trade. πŸ™‚ Some amazing profits possible here.

The stock option trade makes 30,000 in one trade and if SL is hit there is a way to recover losses plus make 30k in that trade.

Technical knowledge is NOT required. No need to monitor trades every second.

In the course you will learn how to select the strike prices. You learn when to trade, which strikes to sell which to buy, how much profit target you should be looking for, the best place to take stop loss and what to do after taking stop loss – means how to get that money back. The success rate is more than 80%.

Since trades are properly hedged there is no stress in trading my strategies.

I am very confident that you will make money trading my strategies. To help you succeed I offer few months support for FREE.

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P.S: So many years of trading has thought me one thing - it is always better to make small profits month after month, rather than lose money month after month trying to make too much money. It never happens. But small money accumulated month after month can become very big in only a few years.

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About the author: I started trading stock markets since 2007. However my first 3 years were losses. Then I dedicated almost 1 year on studying, researching, paper trading options and learned a lot in that time. Since 2011 I am trading Nifty options profitably. Call me if you need any help trading options on 9051143004.

{ 2 comments… add one }
  • Ajay D July 13, 2015, 6:49 pm

    Hello Dilip ji,
    Please tell me how can I save my brokerage because even if I hedge my position by another option/future/stock, I may end up with some minimum profit. However, I need to pay brokerage four times (one buy & sell, second buy & sell). Though, I am not making any loss till date, but I got very minimum profit. For example, by investing Rs 40,000/- four times in NIFTY options, I earned 25,000/- but paid Rs 20,000 brokerages. What can be a potential solution that can be provided by your course for “OPTION”? Please advise.

    • Dilip Shaw July 14, 2015, 11:42 am

      Ajay ji,

      Yes in options trading its very important that you pay very low brokerage so that even if small you end up making the profits not your broker.

      Today, just like in the US, discount brokers are popping up in almost every city. And due to possibility of online trading and call and trade, its not even important that the broker has office in your city.

      Please search Google for “discount brokers in India” and you will get many.

      Do your own research and finalize one or two. Call them or email and chose the one who you think will solve your purpose.

      Opening account is easy as well as most things can be done online or through a courier service.

      Remember with discount brokers you will pay less than Rs. 20/- per trade (not per lot).

      Some names of discount brokers in India – Zerodha.com, sasonline.in, rksv.in etc.

      But please do your own research as well.

      Hope I was able to solve your issue.

      Thanks.

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