In this post you will understand that there is no point in trying to have a view on Nifty each and everyday. It is a futile exercise and a waste of time and should be avoided by traders.
What matters is your strategy, plan and discipline, view is secondary to these things. I am not saying that you should not have a view at all, you should have a view, but it should always be a medium to long term view and you should take a positional trade according to that. After all your today’s view on Nifty, even if correct, will not make you rich.
During these volatile times, I am getting a lot of questions on whats my view on the markets.
Frankly, I never have any view – I just do my job with a proper plan, discipline and most importantly hedging my positions. And I do not care what the “EXPERTS” are saying.
Let me tell you that even highly experienced technical analyst views goes for a toss during these kinds of markets.
For example yesterday every analyst declared that Nifty will soon hit 8000.
And today they have changed their view to 7200. 🙂
So my advice is just ignore the noise around and do your job.
And if you are a derivative trader then I request you with folded hands to please “hedge” your trades. You do not know what may happen overnight. Only a good hedge will protect your money.
Hedging reduces your risk drastically and allows you to sleep well.
DO NOT GET GREEDY – The markets are ever ready to eat your money. DO Not let that happen.
During these turbulent times a hedge will act as a great money protector.
For example consider this trade right now:
Sell: 24-Sep-15 PE 7,700.00 at 152.00
Buy: 24-Sep-15 PE 7,600.00 at 115.00
Why? Because INDIA VIX is at 24.88 – which is great for option writers.
Max profit in this trade is if Nifty is above 7700 on 24 September 2015, the expiry day – which will be 152-115 = 37 points and max loss will be 100-37=63 points.
So now either you lose 63 or make 37 – there can be no other loss. But what if Nifty goes up tomorrow by 100 points and VIX drops? You will be in 10-15 points profit in one day and close the trade. That’s it – all worries gone and you made a quick profit.
This is what happens when you hedge your positions.
Compare this with trader who sells naked 7700 PE options. If tomorrow Nifty goes up great, probably he makes 20-25 points. But what if it falls another 100 points? He will stop out with 50 or more points loss, whereas the hedged trader can wait for Nifty to reverse, go up and take profits out. He can wait because he knows that his max loss is only 63 points and that there is no point in hurrying to take the loss. Markets can go up and down. Today if it has fallen down, tomorrow it may rise again.
September 2015 expiry is still 14 days away. Just 1 day rally and a drop in VIX will do its job.
Disclaimer: If you trade the above strategy the risk is yours. Of course the profits is also yours. 🙂 The information is for your study only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell these options. Do let me know if you close the above trade in profits.
So, if you want to be a good trader and enjoy trading and create wealth over the years, please learn to hedge.
You Can Read More On My Site
Hi, I am Dilip Shaw, owner of this website. I am a trader like you. I have been trading since 2007, but lost a lot of money till 2010. I then stopped trading and studied options like college exams. Started trading again from 2011 and never looked back since. I did a lot of research, read books and did countless paper-trading before being profitable. You can read about me here.
My conservative trading course since 2014 is helping many retail traders just like you who have a job or business make consistent profits like this:
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You can do this course from your home. Some traders make amazing profits like Rs. 16.26 lakhs profit in 5 days though results may differ for all.
This course helps you learn to trade conservative option strategies for monthly income. Once you finish the course you can start trading immediately. You can start trading from any day. No need to wait for expiry. You will make profits consistently.
This course is good if you have a regular job or business. You DO NOT NEED to monitor your trades every second.
What You Get?
Before reading please understand that for all 5 strategies, strike selection will be taught. Strike selection while trading Options is the most essential part to succeed.
You get two conservative non-directional strategies on options, one conservative stock option strategy and two conservative directional strategies on Future & Option combination.
Non directional trades are profitable 80% of the times and make 3-5% per trade (Results may vary).
Directional strategy makes money fast. It does not matter which side the stock moves. In fact you make more when you are wrong in the Future trade. 🙂 Some amazing profits possible here.
The stock option trade makes 30,000 in one trade and if SL is hit there is a way to recover losses plus make 30k in that trade.
Technical knowledge is NOT required. No need to monitor trades every second.
In the course you will learn how to select the strike prices. You learn when to trade, which strikes to sell which to buy, how much profit target you should be looking for, the best place to take stop loss and what to do after taking stop loss – means how to get that money back. The success rate is more than 80%.
Since trades are properly hedged there is no stress in trading my strategies.
I am very confident that you will make money trading my strategies. To help you succeed I offer few months support for FREE.
11 Reasons Why You Should Do The Course:
1. TA Knowledge NOT required
2. NO Software Required
3. Regular Monitoring NOT Required
4. Continue with Your Job
5. Do Course From Your Home
6. 100% Hedged
7. Stress-Free Trading
8. Not too much money needed to trade
9. Scaling Possible
10. One Time Fee
11. FREE Support For Months
To know more Call/SMS/WhatsApp me on 9051143004 or email me now. I know English and Hindi.
Read the details of the course here.
If you want to enroll for the course you can do so here.
P.S: So many years of trading has thought me one thing - it is always better to make small profits month after month, rather than lose money month after month trying to make too much money. It never happens. But small money accumulated month after month can become very big in only a few years.
WhatsApp or Call me: 9051143004
If you have any question you can contact me.
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Dilip Shaw, Founder
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