Today Nifty is seeing Amazing Fall – DO NOT TRADE. Its very dangerous to trade when stock markets are falling sharply.
The reason is pretty simple – you take a short position and suddenly government releases a good news to arrest fall of markets and your trade will stop out.
Check my earlier emails (if you are my newsletter subscriber). I had said clearly to be safe many times.
Hope you listened and stopped trading before Budget Day 2018.
10% Long Term Capital Gains announced in the Budget is the problem for fall.
Anytime buyers will get in and when recovery will come it will be sharp too.
Update on 15-02-2018:
Buyers are already back, see this:
Do not trade anything until 12-Feb-2018.
Its better to be safe and wait for things to get clear after a major event.
Keep your money safe until its not a good time to trade. When opportunity comes start trading.
If you are my course subscriber, I will send you email when to start trading.
Controlling yourself to trade is also a BIG WIN over your emotions.
As a trader you must learn to control emotions.
You know what, since I was out of all derivative trades (not long term investments), by 30-Jan-18 itself, I will not even look at Nifty anymore after writing this post.
Why I did not exit my long term investments?
Because they are long term, not short term. Short term volatility – I am least bothered. Let them go down 5-8% I still do not care. I know with time since they are good investments they will come up. If you want to know the six stocks I have invested for the long term you can email me.
Who will help me to make money?
DIIs, FIIs and retail traders 🙂
Good stocks have a limit of fall (unlike Satyam), after that limit is reached they will be up again. Thanks to DIIs, FIIs for it. 🙂
Nifty right now is 10675.
Can you see how market pundits who speak a lot on TV (business channels) and online popular websites are humbled by markets?
Time has proven them wrong time and again. History is proof of that.
Before budget everyone of them said Nifty Target is 12000 etc etc. I am sure because of them many retail traders must have lost huge, especially future and option long (BUY) traders. In one day’s fall after the budget day 2018Rs 4.34 trillion in national investor wealth got wiped out 🙁
I am sure many of my newsletter subscribers must have lost too. It’s sad but I did my job, asked you not to trade, but you did. What more can I do?
This is the reason I do not listen to market pundits. Last time I watched any business channel was in 2015. After that it is only business news that is important for me not what experts are saying. They are paid to say so they will say.
If you read other websites I am sure you must have read some experts saying go long, some saying go short etc.
What I said? DO NOT TRADE WHEN THINGS ARE NOT RIGHT.
I repeat start trading only from next Monday, 12-Feb-2018. It is better to save money than lose money,
What did you learn?
So plan differently.
Be conservative for short term investments (F&O trades), and be very aggressive for long term investments.
Please note that market pundits say exactly opposite of what I said in the above sentence.
If you want to be Conservative Option Trader, you can do my Course To Generate Short Term Small Income Consistently.
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Dilip Shaw, Founder
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